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AI

Alight, Inc. / Delaware (ALIT)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q2 topline modestly declined while profitability improved: revenue $0.528B (-1.9% YoY), adjusted EBITDA $0.127B (24.1% margin, +460 bps YoY), adjusted EPS $0.10; GAAP EPS was $(2.03) driven by a non‑cash $0.983B goodwill impairment in Health Solutions .
  • Guidance: revenue outlook cut to $2.282–$2.329B (from $2.318–$2.388B) on slower ARR bookings and flat volumes; EBITDA ($620–$645M), adjusted EPS ($0.58–$0.64), and FCF ($250–$285M) reaffirmed; 95% of 2025 revenue under contract provides visibility .
  • Estimate context: Q2 revenue slightly beat ($528M vs $525.2M*), EPS in line ($0.10 vs $0.1045*), and adjusted EBITDA effectively in line versus consensus ($127M actual vs $126.4M*). Focus shifts to second-half bookings conversion and project revenue stabilization .
  • Strategic narrative: AI/automation driving service efficiencies (e.g., 17% call volume reduction YTD), and new GSAM partnership expands wealth solutions; commercial execution being upgraded (search for new CCO, adding domain specialists) to accelerate ARR .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • Margin and cash metrics improved: adjusted EBITDA rose to $127M with 24.1% margin (+460 bps YoY), and 1H free cash flow reached $102M, up from $26M YoY .
    • Operational efficiency gains from AI: “natural language interactive voice response” and Alight Worklife enhancements produced a 17% reduction in call volume YTD; collaborations with Microsoft and IBM to scale AI capabilities .
    • Portfolio momentum and partnerships: renewals/expansions with Target, J&J, Hyatt, Best Buy, Highmark Health, John Hancock; new wealth solutions relationship with Goldman Sachs Asset Management to sub-advise DC and Alight IRA offerings .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Topline pressure: revenue down 1.9% YoY to $528M due to lower project revenue and net commercial activity; project revenue declined to $36M (from $45M) .
    • Outlook trimmed: 2025 revenue guidance cut by ~$45M at the midpoint due to slower first‑half ARR bookings (now flat to slightly down YoY) and flat participant volumes; retention unchanged .
    • Sales cycle elongation and execution gaps: client expansions taking longer and new logo pursuits finishing “second too often,” prompting commercial org changes and a search for a new Chief Commercial Officer .

Financial Results

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$680 $548 $528
Recurring Revenue ($USD Millions)$617 $520 $492
Project Revenue ($USD Millions)$63 $28 $36
BPaaS Revenue ($USD Millions)$146 $126 $124
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$271 $171 $176
Gross Margin %39.9% 31.2% 33.3%
Adjusted Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$300 $200 $205
Adjusted Gross Margin %44.1% 36.5% 38.8%
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$217 $118 $127
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %31.9% 21.5% 24.1%
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.05 $(0.03) $(2.03)
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)$0.24 $0.10 $0.10

Notes and drivers

  • Sequential revenue declined from $548M to $528M on softer project revenue and net commercial activity; recurring mix remained >93% .
  • GAAP loss reflects a non‑cash $983M goodwill impairment in Health Solutions; no cash impact to operations .
  • CFO noted adjusted gross profit is normalized higher by ~$8M due to TSA reimbursements classified in other income (presentation nuance) .

Q2 2025 vs. Wall Street Consensus (S&P Global)

MetricActualConsensusResult
Revenue ($USD Millions)$528 $525.2*Beat (≈+$2.8M)
Primary EPS ($)$0.10 $0.1045*In line/slight miss
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$127 $126.4*Beat (≈+$0.6M)

Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Balance Sheet and Cash Flow (Q2 2025)

  • Cash & equivalents: $227M; Total debt: $2,015M; Net debt: $1,788M .
  • 1H Free cash flow: $102M (CFO target: $250–$285M for FY25) .
  • Net leverage ~3.1x; majority of debt fixed through 2025; revolver extended and priced down .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q1 2025)Current Guidance (Q2 2025)Change
RevenueFY 2025$2.318B–$2.388B $2.282B–$2.329B Lowered
Adjusted EBITDAFY 2025$620M–$645M $620M–$645M Maintained
Adjusted Diluted EPSFY 2025$0.58–$0.64 $0.58–$0.64 Maintained
Free Cash FlowFY 2025$250M–$285M $250M–$285M Maintained

Management attribution of revenue trim: ~$35M timing of new wins (ARR bookings conversion), ~$10M volumes (flat participant counts), retention unchanged .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
AI/AutomationTech modernization and AI enablement across platform; 80% of clients using AI; launched self-service leaves reporting; NPS +12 pts for annual enrollment .Natural language IVR and Worklife enhancements drove a 17% YTD reduction in call volumes; partnerships with Microsoft/IBM to scale AI .Strengthening execution and measurable efficiency gains.
Commercial execution/sales cyclePipeline up ~30%; watching for elongation but no major buyer behavior change; reaffirmed outlook .ARR bookings slower; expansions taking longer; org changes underway incl. search for new CCO; finalist pipeline up 35% YoY .Mixed: healthy pipeline, but timing/execution weigh on near-term growth.
Project revenueEntered 2025 cautious; 1H discretionary projects/M&A soft; back-half visibility builds in June/July .Q3 project revenue to mirror Q2’s -20% YoY; Q4 closer to flat (down single digits) .Stabilizing late year; still a headwind short term.
Client retention/renewalsEarly renewals (Starbucks, Baxter, US Foods, Otis); revenue under contract 92% .Renewals in line or better than 2024; notable renewals incl. Target, J&J, Hyatt, Best Buy, Highmark, John Hancock; 95% of FY25 revenue under contract .Solid and supportive to visibility.
Partnerships/WealthBenefits of capital allocation flexibility; opportunistic buybacks .New GSAM sub-advisory relationship for AFA DC and Alight IRA; viewed as multi‑year revenue opportunity .Positive optionality and product breadth.
Macro/participant countsVolatility can elongate decisions; participant counts cautious but impacts lag .Participant counts flat; volumes unchanged in outlook .Neutral-to-slight headwind in-year.

Management Commentary

  • “We delivered solid results in what is a transitional year… updated our revenue outlook for 2025 and reaffirm the rest of our guidance” .
  • “Using natural language interactive voice response… we’ve seen a 17% reduction in call volumes during 2025 versus the prior year” .
  • “Partnering with Goldman Sachs Asset Management… a significant revenue growth opportunity over the next few years” .
  • CFO: “We now expect total revenue to be lower by roughly $45 million at the midpoint… timing of new wins $35 million, volumes $10 million, and retention unchanged,” while “reaffirming… adjusted EBITDA $620–$645M, adjusted EPS $0.58–$0.64 and free cash flow $250–$285M” .
  • CFO noted presentation nuance: adjusted gross profit affected by TSA reimbursements (would be ~$8M higher on a normalized basis) .

Q&A Highlights

  • Sales cycle and bookings: Expansions taking longer and new logo execution gaps; adding domain experts, upgrading commercial leadership (new CCO search). Finalist-stage opportunities up 35% YoY, supporting 2H conversions .
  • Revenue guide mechanics: ~+$10M 1H performance offset by -$45M 2H reduction; ~$(25–30)M ARR in‑year revenue impact, remainder project and volumes .
  • Project revenue cadence: Q3 similar to Q2 (down ~20% YoY); Q4 closer to flat/down single digits on enrollment activity and comps .
  • Deal composition: 2H in‑year revenue typically smaller/mid-market admin and specific solutions (leaves/navigation/retiree health); delays push starts into late 2025/2026 .
  • Capital allocation: Dividend and buybacks ongoing; $241M remaining authorization at quarter end; net leverage 3.1x with expectation to normalize sub-3x through seasonality and cash build .

Estimates Context

  • Q2 revenue slightly beat consensus ($528M vs $525.2M*); EPS essentially in line ($0.10 vs $0.1045*); adjusted EBITDA tracked in line/beat modestly ($127M vs $126.4M*). Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Given revenue guide reduction (midpoint down $45M), Street revenue estimates for FY25 ($2.268B*) may drift toward the company’s range ($2.282–$2.329B). Profitability guide intact suggests limited changes to FY25 EBITDA/EPS consensus if execution holds in 2H .
    Values marked with * retrieved from S&P Global.

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Near-term: Expect muted topline in 2H on slower ARR conversion and flat volumes, with project revenue headwinds persisting into Q3; watch for Q4 stabilization and late-stage pipeline conversion as potential catalysts .
  • Profitability durability: Despite the revenue trim, 2025 adjusted EBITDA, EPS, and FCF outlooks held, underpinned by productivity savings and mix shift; margin expansion remained evident in Q2 .
  • Execution watch items: Commercial retooling (CCO hire, domain specialists) and ARR timing are key to re-accelerating growth into 2026; management highlighted finalist pipeline up 35% YoY .
  • Strategic upside: GSAM partnership broadens wealth solutions and could add multi‑year revenue streams; AI initiatives delivering tangible service efficiencies and should compound operational leverage .
  • Risk checks: Goodwill impairment is non‑cash but underscores market/macro reassessment in Health Solutions; participant counts flat and elongated sales cycles remain short-term headwinds .
  • Visibility: 95% of 2025 revenue under contract and stable retention support confidence in cash generation and capital returns (dividend and buybacks) .

Additional Reference Data (Q2 press release facts)

  • Revenue mix: recurring 93.2% ($492M) and project $36M; BPaaS $124M .
  • Balance sheet: cash $227M; total debt $2,015M; net debt $1,788M .
  • Shareholder returns: $20M buybacks; $0.04/share dividend declared and paid .